Read the signal before
the market reads the price
Physics, talent, procurement, capital-flow, and market research — five layers, each with its own lead time, sourced and dated.
Start reading
Patent filingsLayer 1Research papersLayer 1Board appointmentsLayer 2Researcher hiresLayer 2Hyperscaler contractsLayer 3Government awardsLayer 313F filingsLayer 4Congressional tradesLayer 4ETF holdingsLayer 4Analyst targetsLayer 5Guidance revisionsLayer 5Short interestLayer 5
Patent filingsLayer 1Research papersLayer 1Board appointmentsLayer 2Researcher hiresLayer 2Hyperscaler contractsLayer 3Government awardsLayer 313F filingsLayer 4Congressional tradesLayer 4ETF holdingsLayer 4Analyst targetsLayer 5Guidance revisionsLayer 5Short interestLayer 5
Membership
One tier. Full access.
No upsells, no hidden tiers — every subscriber sees the same research, the same sourcing, the same day it's published. Every subscription starts with 14 days free; cancel before then and you're never charged.
Monthly
$50 / month
14 days free, then billed monthly · cancel anytime
- All 5 signal layers, updated weekly
- Full public + private company research
- Entry price, target, and sourcing shown for every pick
- Full research data and analytics behind every pick
Start free trial
Annual
$500 / year
14 days free, then billed annually · cancel anytime
- All 5 signal layers, updated weekly
- Full public + private company research
- Entry price, target, and sourcing shown for every pick
- Full research data and analytics behind every pick
Start free trial
FAQs
What is Precursor Signal?
A research subscription built around a five-layer, lead-time-ordered framework — physics and engineering, human capital, supply chain, capital flow, and market signals — tracking the companies each layer surfaces before the broader market prices them in.
How is this different from a stock screener?
A screener filters on numbers that are already public. We start further upstream — patent filings, hiring moves, procurement contracts, and fund positions — each layer chosen for how early its signal shows up relative to price.
What do I get with a membership?
Full access to every company we're tracking across all five layers, updated weekly as research continues, with the entry price, analyst target, and sourcing shown for every pick — public and private, plus the ETFs that give you diversified exposure to the same themes. $50/month or $500/year, with a 14-day free trial to start.
How are picks scored?
Every candidate is sorted into one of three tiers purely by the strength of its return case, never by share price — a $600 stock with a genuine 100%+ case belongs on the top tier, a case in the 50-100% range belongs on the second tier, and a 15-50% case belongs on the third; nothing below a credible 15% case is published. A $600 stock and a $15 stock are held to the exact same standard. Each layer applies the bar to its own signal type, and every score shows the entry price and target it was calculated from.
Do you cover private companies and ETFs?
Yes. Every sector page shows public tiered picks, private companies with a real signal but no ticker to buy yet, and the ETFs that give diversified exposure to the same theme, side by side — same sourcing standard applied to all three.
How does the free trial work?
Every subscription starts with 14 days of full access — every layer, every pick, entry price, target, sourcing, and the full write-up. A card is required to start (Stripe handles it — we never see or store your card details), but you won't be charged during the trial. Cancel anytime before day 14 from your account page and you're never billed; if you don't cancel, billing starts automatically at $50/month or $500/year.
What's in the weekly newsletter?
A synthesis of everything published that week, across every tier and every layer — public companies, private companies, and ETFs — organized around the themes that actually connected across sources, not a list of top picks. Every issue is browsable at /newsletter; the full write-up is part of your subscription (including your free trial), same as every other pick.
What are "Repeat Signals" and "Cross-Layer Confirmation"?
Each layer runs its own independent search — a supply-chain contract, a fund position, an ETF holding — without one search being built to find what another already found. When the same ticker clears the bar on repeated runs of one layer, or on two or more different layers independently, that's a genuinely stronger signal than any single pick alone, and it's tracked openly on the homepage rather than left for you to notice on your own.
Do you manage money or place trades on my behalf?
No. Precursor Signal is a research product, not a registered broker-dealer or registered investment adviser. We don't hold assets, place trades, or manage portfolios.
Is this financial advice?
No. Everything published is for informational purposes only. It isn't a personalized recommendation and doesn't account for your individual circumstances — do your own diligence, or talk to a licensed advisor, before acting on anything here. See our full Disclosures & Disclaimers.
Can I cancel anytime?
Yes. Cancel during your 14-day trial and you're never charged. Once billing has started, whether you're on the monthly or annual plan, you can cancel anytime from your account page — you keep access through the end of the period you've already paid for.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Product & Research
What Precursor Signal is, and how we actually get to a number.
Not a black box, and not a brokerage. A disciplined, source-by-source research process for finding the companies moving before the price does — built layer by layer, in the order the signal actually arrives.
About the product
Precursor Signal is a research subscription, not a trading platform. $50/month or $500/year (14 days free to start) gets you weekly-updated coverage of the companies we're actively tracking — public companies, private companies with no ticker yet, and the ETFs that give diversified exposure to the same themes — sorted into five layers by how early each layer's signal type tends to show up relative to price, and into 19 real sectors by what each company actually builds. Coverage grows as research continues; it isn't a fixed list. Every pick shows its entry price, its analyst target, the specific thing that got it onto the list, and — just as importantly — the risks and caveats that come with it.
We don't hold assets, place trades, or manage portfolios, and nothing published here is a personalized recommendation. It's the research a systematic process turned up, published with the sourcing shown and the confidence stated plainly, so you can do your own diligence on top of it rather than instead of it.
Why it exists
By the time a stock is in the headlines, most of the move that mattered has usually already happened — the price has caught up to a story that was visible in pieces long before. A company's trajectory tends to show up in stages: first in what it's actually building (a patent filing, a research paper, an engineering team's public complaints), then in who it hires and who joins its board, then in who it signs a contract with, then in where institutional and political money quietly positions itself, and only last in the price and analyst targets everyone else is already watching. Precursor Signal is named for exactly that — the leading edge, the thing that comes before. The five-layer framework exists to read that sequence in order, instead of waiting for the last stage to notice anything.
How we research
Every pick on this site is built the same way, whichever layer it comes from: find a real, dated signal; check it against a real, current number; show both. Here's the actual process behind it.
Five layers, ordered by lead time
Physics & Engineering Reality (24–36 months) watches what's showing up in patent filings, scientific papers, and developer complaints before it's a product. Human Capital Flow (18–24 months) watches who a lab hires, who leaves for a startup, and who joins a board. Supply Chain & Procurement (12–18 months) watches who actually signs the contract — a hyperscaler lease, a government award, a chip-supply deal. Capital Flow (12–18 months) watches where institutional and political money is already quietly positioned — 13F filings, congressional disclosures, thematic-ETF holdings. Financial & Market Signals (6–12 months) watches what's now visible in the tape itself — price-target dispersion, guidance revisions, short interest. Each layer is scored on the kind of signal it's actually built to catch, not on one blended score.
How a pick clears the bar
The bar itself doesn't move, and it isn't set by share price or by market cap: any name needs an analyst target implying 100%+ upside from a real, current entry price to reach the top tier, 50-100% for the second tier, or 15-50% for the third — a $600 stock and a $15 stock, a mega-cap and a small-cap, are all held to the exact same standard. Both the entry price and the target are checked against a real source before a name is added, and where a target reflects only a high estimate rather than the average — a meaningfully weaker case — that distinction is shown, not smoothed over.
Only what clears the bar gets published
Most companies a layer turns up don't clear one of the three tiers, and they simply aren't published — this is a curated list of what earned a place, not an exhaustive log of everything reviewed. Every name you see cleared a credible 100%+, 50-100%, or 15-50% return case from a real, checked entry price; nothing below that bar makes it onto the site.
Convergence as a strengthening signal
Occasionally the same company clears the bar on two or three layers independently — a supply-chain contract, a fund position, and a market-signal read all landing on the same ticker without either search being built to find the other. That kind of convergence across genuinely different methodologies is treated as a stronger signal than any one layer alone. The same logic applies across time, not just across layers — a ticker that clears the bar on repeated, independent runs of a single layer is a stronger case than one that only ever showed up once. Both kinds of convergence are tracked openly on the homepage, under Repeat Signals and Cross-Layer Confirmation, rather than left for you to notice on your own.
Sourcing shown, confidence stated plainly
Every pick names what it was actually found from — a specific contract, a specific 13F filing, a specific hire — rather than a vague "strong fundamentals." When no reliable target exists, that's stated outright rather than estimated. When a number looks too good, the catch sits right next to it: post-SPAC volatility, thin analyst coverage, a stock that's already run.
Human-directed, AI-assisted
Each layer's research runs on its own automated schedule — sweeping its signal type, checking candidates against a real entry price and target, and writing the sourced case for everything that clears the bar. But nothing reaches this site automatically: every cycle's output is reviewed by a person before it's published, and only goes live once that review is explicitly approved. The rules the pipeline follows, and the corrections made when it gets something wrong, are both human-directed — the compiling is done by the system; the decision to publish never is.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal
Disclosures & Disclaimers
The short version lives in the footer of every page. This is the complete version — what Precursor Signal is, what it isn't, and exactly what to weigh before acting on anything published here.
Not investment advice
Precursor Signal is a research publication, not a registered broker-dealer or registered investment adviser, and does not act as a fiduciary. Nothing published on this site — including entry prices, analyst targets, upside tiers, sector groupings, "Repeat Signals," or "Cross-Layer Confirmation" — is a personalized recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, and none of it accounts for your individual financial situation, objectives, or risk tolerance. It is general information published to subscribers as a group, not advice directed at you specifically. Do your own diligence, and talk to a licensed financial advisor, before acting on anything here.
No offer, no brokerage relationship
Nothing on this site is an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any security, in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful. We don't hold client assets, place trades, manage portfolios, or act as an intermediary between you and any security discussed. Subscribing to Precursor Signal does not create an advisory, fiduciary, or brokerage relationship of any kind.
How the numbers are built, and where they can be wrong
Every entry price, analyst target, and upside figure reflects a systematic scoring method applied to publicly available and third-party information as of the date shown next to that pick. That underlying data — analyst estimates, SEC filings, ETF holdings disclosures, 13F filings, procurement announcements, hiring records, and similar public sources — may be incomplete, delayed, restated, or simply wrong, and none of it is independently audited by us. Where a target reflects only a single high estimate rather than a broader analyst consensus, or where analyst coverage is thin, that's stated explicitly on the pick rather than smoothed over — but the underlying estimate itself is still someone else's, not ours, and can move or be revised at any time after we've published it.
No guaranteed returns, and real risk of loss
Past performance — including any tier a pick previously cleared, or any return it previously appeared to be on track for — is not indicative of future results, and none of the upside figures published here are guaranteed in any way. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of your entire principal. Several categories of names covered by this research carry meaningfully elevated risk, including low-priced securities, recently-public or post-SPAC companies, pre-revenue or early-revenue companies, and private companies with no public market at all for their shares — these are flagged where relevant, but the flag reduces surprise, not risk. See our full Risk Disclosure for a category-by-category breakdown.
Private companies and ETFs
Private companies discussed in this research have no public ticker, no public market price, and in most cases no way for an ordinary retail subscriber to actually purchase shares — they're published as directional research on where capital and talent are moving, not as an actionable trade. Where a private company's shares are transactable at all, it's typically through a private secondary marketplace (e.g. Forge, EquityZen, Nasdaq Private Market) restricted to accredited or institutional investors, not a public exchange open to retail subscribers. Valuations shown for private companies come from their most recent disclosed funding round and can be stale by the time you read them. ETFs are shown for thematic context — as one way to get diversified exposure to a sector this research tracks — not as a recommendation of that specific fund over any other, and fund facts (AUM, expense ratio, price range) are sourced from the fund provider or a third-party data source as of the date noted, not verified independently by us.
Human-directed, AI-assisted research
Compiling five layers of filings, contracts, hires, fund positions, and price targets across hundreds of individual sources is done with AI-assisted research under direct human review, not by an autonomous system publishing without oversight. Every figure that reaches this site is checked against the specific source it came from before publication — but AI-assisted research can still misread a source, and human review can still miss an error. If you find one, we want to know about it; see Contact below.
Potential conflicts of interest
The people who prepare Precursor Signal's research are individuals, not a disinterested machine, and may at any time hold, or come to hold, positions in securities discussed in this research, before, during, or after publication. We don't disclose position-level detail on a pick-by-pick basis. You should not assume that a security's inclusion in — or continued presence on — our research reflects the absence of a financial interest on the part of anyone involved in producing it.
Forward-looking statements
Statements about a company's future revenue, contracts, product timelines, or market opportunity are forward-looking and inherently uncertain, whether they originate from the company itself, from an analyst, or from our own synthesis of public sources. Actual results can differ materially, and we undertake no obligation to update a forward-looking statement once published, beyond the normal weekly research cycle.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal · Last updated 2026-07-31
Privacy Policy
What we collect, why, who else sees it, and how to see or delete your own data. Precursor Signal is a small subscription research business, not an ad-supported platform — this policy is written to match that, not padded out with practices we don't actually engage in.
Who this covers
This policy covers personal information collected through precursorsignal.com and its associated account, checkout, and email systems ("we," "us," "our," "Precursor Signal"). It doesn't cover third-party sites we link to, which have their own privacy practices.
Information we collect
If you sign in for a paid account
Your email address, used to send you a one-time sign-in link — we use passwordless authentication, so we never receive or store a password for your account. Once you subscribe, we also store your subscription status and plan (monthly or annual) and a reference ID from our payment processor, Stripe, tying your account to your Stripe customer record. We never receive or store your card number, expiry, or CVC — Stripe's own hosted checkout collects that directly, on their infrastructure, not ours.
If you subscribe to the free weekly email
Just your email address, plus the date you subscribed and confirmed (we use double opt-in — you have to click a confirmation link before we send anything beyond that first email), and where on the site you signed up. Subscribing to the free email doesn't require or create a paid account.
Automatically, from your browser
Standard server request data (IP address, browser type, pages requested, timestamps) generated by visiting any website, retained briefly for security and abuse-prevention purposes. We do not currently run any third-party analytics, advertising, or behavioral-tracking scripts on this site — no Google Analytics, no ad pixels, no cross-site tracking cookies. The only cookie a signed-in visitor's browser holds is a functional session cookie from our authentication provider, used solely to keep you signed in. See our full Cookie Policy for detail.
How we use it
To provide the service you signed up for: authenticate you, remember your subscription status, send the emails you asked for (sign-in links, trial and billing receipts via Stripe), respond if you contact us, and detect and prevent abuse of the service. We do not use your personal information for advertising, and we do not build behavioral profiles for targeting purposes.
Who we share it with
We don't sell your personal information, to anyone, for any purpose. We share the minimum necessary with the vendors who actually run parts of the service on our behalf, each acting under their own data-processing terms:
Supabase
Our authentication and database provider — stores your account record, email, and subscription status.
Stripe
Our payment processor — handles checkout and billing directly; holds your payment details, we hold only a reference ID and your subscription status.
Resend
Our transactional-email provider — delivers sign-in links and billing receipts.
Beyond these vendors, we disclose personal information only if required by law, subpoena, or valid legal process, or to protect the rights, property, or safety of Precursor Signal, our subscribers, or the public. If Precursor Signal is ever acquired or merges with another company, subscriber information may transfer as part of that transaction, subject to this same policy or one materially equivalent to it.
How long we keep it
We keep account and billing records for as long as your account is active, plus a period afterward to satisfy tax, accounting, and legal-retention obligations. A small number of records from a legacy email list that predates our current all-access model are kept until unsubscribed (a link is in every email we send) or until the address bounces persistently. You can request full deletion at any time — see Your rights below.
Your rights
Wherever you're located, you can ask us to: tell you what personal information we hold about you; correct it if it's wrong; delete it, subject to what we're legally required to retain (e.g. billing records for tax purposes); or send you a portable copy of it. Email privacy@precursorsignal.com to exercise any of these — we'll respond within 30 days. You can cancel your subscription at any time from your account page — cancel before your free trial ends and you won't be charged at all.
California residents (CCPA)
If you're a California resident, state law gives you a specific set of rights over the categories of personal information described above (identifiers like your email; commercial information like your subscription/plan; internet activity like the server logs described above). Specifically, you have the right to:
Know and access
Request the categories and specific pieces of personal information we've collected about you, and the categories of sources, purposes, and third parties involved.
Delete
Request deletion of personal information we've collected from you, subject to legal exceptions (e.g. completing a transaction, security, legal compliance).
Correct
Request correction of inaccurate personal information we maintain about you.
Opt out of sale or sharing
This one's easy: we don't sell personal information or share it for cross-context behavioral advertising, so there's nothing to opt out of. We also don't use or disclose sensitive personal information (we don't collect any beyond what's already described above) for any purpose requiring an opt-out.
Non-discrimination
We won't deny you service, charge you a different price, or provide a different level of service because you exercised any of these rights.
To exercise any California right, email privacy@precursorsignal.com with your request and the email address on your account; we may need to verify you're the account holder before acting on a request.
Security
We rely on our vendors' security infrastructure (Supabase, Stripe, Resend all maintain their own security programs) and follow standard practices like RLS-enforced database access and HTTPS everywhere. No method of transmission or storage is 100% secure, and we can't guarantee absolute security of any information you send us.
Children's privacy
Precursor Signal isn't directed at anyone under 18, and we don't knowingly collect personal information from anyone under 18. If you believe a minor has provided us personal information, contact us and we'll delete it.
Changes to this policy
If we materially change how we collect or use personal information, we'll update the date at the top of this page and, where the change is significant, notify active subscribers by email before it takes effect.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal · Last updated 2026-07-31
Terms & Conditions
The rules for using Precursor Signal, in plain language wherever plain language and legal precision don't conflict.
Agreement to terms
By creating an account or otherwise using precursorsignal.com, you agree to these terms. If you don't agree, don't use the service. We may update these terms from time to time; continued use after an update means you accept the revised terms.
What Precursor Signal is
Precursor Signal is a paid research subscription covering public and private companies across five signal layers, published for informational purposes. It is not investment advice, a brokerage, or an offer to buy or sell any security — see our full Disclosures & Disclaimers, which are incorporated into these terms by reference.
Eligibility
You must be at least 18 years old and able to form a binding contract to use Precursor Signal. By using the service, you represent that you meet these requirements and that using the service doesn't violate any law that applies to you.
Your account
Signing in uses a one-time email link rather than a password. You're responsible for keeping access to your own email account secure, and for all activity that happens under your account. Accounts are for a single person's individual use — don't share your sign-in access with anyone else, including to give someone else free access to paid research. Give us accurate information when it's requested (e.g. your email address), and let us know if you believe your account has been compromised.
Subscriptions and billing
Plans
Precursor Signal offers a monthly plan ($50/month) and an annual plan ($500/year). Prices are shown in USD and may change going forward; a price change never applies retroactively to a billing period you've already paid for.
Free trial
New subscriptions include a 14-day free trial. A payment method is required to start the trial, but you won't be charged until it ends. Cancel anytime before then, from your account page, and you won't be billed at all.
Billing and auto-renewal
Payment is processed by Stripe. Once your trial ends (or immediately, if you're not on a trial), subscriptions renew automatically at the end of each billing period until you cancel — we don't manually re-bill you, and we don't store your card details ourselves.
Cancellation
Cancel anytime from your account page. Cancelling during your trial means you're never charged. Cancelling afterward stops future renewals; you keep access through the end of the period you've already paid for. We don't provide partial-period refunds for early cancellation, except where required by law — see our full Refund Policy for the specific cases where we do refund a payment.
Our content, and what you can do with it
All research, text, data compilations, layer/tier/sector frameworks, and design on this site are owned by Precursor Signal or our licensors, and are provided for your own personal, non-commercial use as an active subscriber. You may not redistribute, resell, republish, systematically scrape, or provide third-party access to paid research or underlying data, in whole or in part, without our prior written consent. You may share a single pick or figure in normal conversation or on social media with attribution to Precursor Signal; you may not mirror, aggregate, or resyndicate our research as a competing product or feed. See our full Copyright Notice.
Acceptable use
Don't: share your account access to give someone else free paid-tier reading; scrape, crawl, or bulk-download the site by automated means; attempt to access another user's account or our non-public systems; interfere with the site's normal operation; or use the service for any unlawful purpose.
Third-party data and links
Our research relies on and links to third-party sources — SEC filings, analyst estimates, exchange data, fund providers, news reporting. We don't control those sources and aren't responsible for their accuracy, availability, or content; a source going down or changing after we cite it doesn't create an error on our part, though we try to catch and correct stale citations when we find them.
Disclaimer of warranties
Precursor Signal is provided "as is" and "as available," without warranties of any kind, express or implied, including merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement. We don't warrant that the service will be uninterrupted, error-free, or that any research figure is accurate, complete, or current at the time you read it.
Limitation of liability
To the fullest extent permitted by law, Precursor Signal and its operators won't be liable for any indirect, incidental, special, consequential, or punitive damages, or any loss of profits or investment losses, arising from your use of the service or reliance on any research published on it — including, without limitation, any trading or investment decision you make. Our total liability for any claim relating to the service is limited to the amount you paid us in the 12 months before the claim arose.
Indemnification
You agree to indemnify and hold Precursor Signal harmless from any claim or demand arising from your use of the service, your violation of these terms, or your violation of any right of a third party.
Termination
You can stop using the service and cancel your subscription at any time. We may suspend or terminate your access if we reasonably believe you've violated these terms, including the acceptable-use and content-redistribution provisions above. Provisions that by their nature should survive termination — billing you already owe, IP ownership, disclaimers, limitation of liability, indemnification — do survive it.
Governing law and disputes
These terms are governed by the laws of [State/Country of incorporation — to be finalized], without regard to conflict-of-laws principles. Any dispute arising from these terms or your use of the service will be resolved in the courts of that jurisdiction, and you consent to their personal jurisdiction.
Changes to these terms
We may update these terms from time to time; the date at the top of this page reflects the most recent revision. Material changes will be communicated to active subscribers by email before taking effect.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal · Last updated 2026-07-26
Risk Disclosure
Everything here also appears, in shorter form, inside our Disclosures & Disclaimers. This page exists to spell out, category by category, exactly what kind of risk you're taking on if you act on anything published on this site.
General investment risk
All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of your entire principal. Prices of the securities discussed on this site can and do decline, sometimes sharply and without warning, for reasons unrelated to anything published in our research. Nothing on this site is a guarantee, prediction, or assurance of any specific return, and you should never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
Risk specific to the companies we cover
Low-priced and small-cap securities
Lower-priced and smaller-capitalization stocks tend to be more volatile, more thinly traded, and more exposed to a single piece of news than large, established companies — a move that looks dramatic in percentage terms can happen on very little actual trading volume.
Pre-revenue and early-revenue companies
Some companies covered here have little or no revenue yet, and their value depends heavily on assumptions about future execution — a product shipping on time, a contract converting to revenue, a technology working at scale — any of which can fail to materialize.
Recently-public and post-SPAC companies
Newly-public companies, and companies that came public via SPAC merger, often trade with elevated volatility, thinner analyst coverage, and share-lockup expirations that can create sudden new selling pressure, independent of the company's underlying performance.
Private companies
Private companies discussed in this research have no public market, no daily price, and in most cases no mechanism for an ordinary retail subscriber to buy shares at all. Where shares are transactable, it's typically limited to accredited or institutional investors through a private secondary marketplace, not a public exchange. Where a valuation is shown, it reflects that company's most recent disclosed funding round — which can be months old, was priced for a different investor, and may not reflect what the company would be worth in a public listing, if one ever happens.
Thematic concentration
Because each of our five layers is organized around a specific theme, companies within a layer can be more correlated with each other than a randomly chosen basket of stocks would be — a single piece of theme-level bad news can move many of that layer's names at once.
Risk in our own methodology
The model can be wrong
Our scoring method is a systematic way of reading public signals — it is not a proven predictor of future price movement, and a company clearing our bar is not evidence that its stock will actually reach the analyst target shown. Signals we treat as leading indicators can fail to translate into the outcome we expect, or can take far longer than any lead-time estimate we publish.
Analyst targets are estimates, not outcomes
Every upside figure on this site is someone else's analyst estimate, not our forecast and not a guarantee — estimates get revised, withdrawn, or proven wrong after we publish them, and we don't always catch a revision the same week it happens.
Underlying data can be incomplete or delayed
13F filings, procurement announcements, hiring records, and fund holdings disclosures are all reported on a lag, and can be restated or corrected by their original source after we've already cited them.
No suitability determination
We don't know your financial situation, investment objectives, time horizon, or risk tolerance, and nothing on this site has been evaluated for suitability against any of those things. A pick appearing in our top tier says something about how it scored against our own bar — it says nothing about whether it's an appropriate holding for you specifically.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal · Last updated 2026-07-26
Cookie Policy
We use exactly one cookie, and it isn't for tracking you. Here's what it is and how to control it.
What a cookie is
A cookie is a small text file a website asks your browser to store, then reads back on later visits — typically used to remember who you are or what you were doing.
What we actually use
Strictly necessary: authentication session
When you sign in, our authentication provider (Supabase) sets a single session cookie in your browser so you stay signed in as you move between pages, instead of re-authenticating on every request. This cookie doesn't track you across other sites, isn't used for advertising, and is deleted when you sign out or when the session expires.
Everything else: none
We do not use analytics cookies, advertising cookies, or third-party tracking cookies of any kind. We don't run Google Analytics, an ad pixel, or a cross-site tracking script — if that ever changes, we'll update this policy first and add a cookie-consent option before deploying anything beyond the necessary session cookie described above.
Why there's no cookie banner
Cookie-consent banners exist to get permission for non-essential cookies (analytics, advertising, tracking). Because the only cookie we set is strictly necessary for you to stay signed in — a purpose that doesn't legally require consent under most cookie laws, including the EU/UK rules that popularized the banner — we haven't added one. If we ever introduce a non-essential cookie, that will change.
Controlling cookies yourself
You can block or delete cookies in your browser's settings at any time. Since our only cookie keeps you signed in, blocking it means you'll be signed out and asked to sign in again on your next visit — it won't affect your ability to read anything publicly available on the site.
Related policies
This page is a companion to our Privacy Policy, which covers what personal information we collect more broadly.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal · Last updated 2026-07-26
Refund Policy
When you're charged, when you're not, and the specific cases where we'll refund a payment.
General policy
Subscriptions are billed in advance — monthly ($50) or annually ($500) — and, other than the exceptions below, payments are non-refundable once a billing period has started. Cancelling stops future renewals but doesn't refund the period you're currently in; you keep access through the end of what you've already paid for. This mirrors the cancellation terms in our Terms & Conditions.
When we will refund you
Billing errors
If you were charged twice for the same period, charged after you'd already cancelled, or charged the wrong amount because of an error on our end or Stripe's, tell us and we'll correct it in full.
Extended outage
If the paid research behind the subscription is unavailable for an extended stretch of a billing period due to an outage on our side, we'll credit or refund the affected time on request.
Statutory withdrawal rights
If you're located somewhere that gives consumers a legal right to withdraw from a digital-subscription purchase within a set window, that right applies here to the extent required by law — note that in many such jurisdictions, that right ends early once you've started accessing the paid research, since it's treated as a service that's already begun.
What we don't refund
Simply changing your mind partway through a paid period, forgetting to cancel before a renewal, or disagreeing with how a specific pick performed are not, on their own, grounds for a refund — the service is the research itself, delivered on the schedule we publish it, not a specific investment outcome.
How to request one
Email legal@precursorsignal.com with your account email and the reason for the request. We aim to respond within a few business days; approved refunds are returned to your original payment method via Stripe and can take several business days to appear, depending on your bank or card issuer.
Chargebacks
If something's wrong with a charge, please contact us first — we can usually resolve it faster than a card-network dispute, and a chargeback on an account that hasn't contacted us first may result in suspension of that account pending resolution.
← Back to Precursor Signal
Legal · Last updated 2026-07-26
Copyright Notice
Who owns what's on this site, what you're allowed to do with it, and how to reach us about either.
Ownership
© 2026 Precursor Signal. All research write-ups, scoring methodology, layer and tier frameworks, sector groupings, data compilations, and site design are the property of Precursor Signal or our licensors, and are protected by copyright and other intellectual-property laws. "Precursor Signal" and our logo are trademarks of Precursor Signal, whether or not registered in any jurisdiction.
What you can do
As an active subscriber, you may read and use our research for your own personal, non-commercial purposes, and you may share an individual pick or figure in normal conversation or on social media as long as you credit Precursor Signal. That's the same permission described in our Terms & Conditions.
What you can't do
You may not republish, resell, systematically scrape, mirror, or redistribute our research or underlying data — in whole or in substantial part — without our prior written consent, whether or not you're a paying subscriber. This includes bulk-copying picks into another product, feed, or publication, and using automated tools to extract our data at scale.
Third-party material
Our research cites and links to third-party sources — SEC filings, analyst estimates, exchange data, news reporting — which remain the property of their original publishers. Citing a source isn't a claim of ownership over it.
Reporting infringement
If you believe your copyrighted work has been used on this site in a way that isn't fair use or otherwise permitted, or if you believe someone else is infringing Precursor Signal's own copyrighted material, email legal@precursorsignal.com with enough detail to identify the material and the issue — we'll look into it.
Read the signal before the market reads the price.
Physics, talent, procurement, and capital-flow research — five layers, each with its own lead time, sourced and dated.